After the first round of the NFL draft, the question fans most want answered is: How did my team do? It seems straightforward, but landing on a solid answer is tricky. Since the market for new NFL labor isn’t free or open, deciding whether a team got good value at a pick rests largely on assumptions about the rest of the league’s preferences. And NFL teams are notorious for keeping those preferences a secret, even after the draft is over.
While the true market for rookie players is probably unknowable, that doesn’t stop analysts and teams from trying to model it. One way to get a handle on things is to aggregate the mock drafts produced by the media. This year, ESPN’s Brian Burke did just that, and we wrote about a few of the insights gleaned from his model in the lead-up to the draft.
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